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Raymond's highly scientific predictions for the 2014 NCAA men's basketball tournament

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Once again, it's time for Raymond to come up with an absurd, arbitrary criterion for filling out his NCAA bracket.

This year, I look at the number of followers of of the basketball team's official Twitter account, or one tenth of the number of followers of the school's athletic department if the school's basketball team does not have its own dedicated Twitter account. The fraction 1/10 is completely arbitrary, but that's what makes this algorithm highly scientific. And yes, counting fans also includes people who hatewatch the team. I accept this, because if a lot of people hate a team, it's probably because they're "too good."

This works similarly to last year's algorithm based on Facebook Likes, but now I'm using Twitter because Facebook is for old people. That may be why last year's predictions were so awful.

Once the field has been narrowed to four teams, the results are determined by a coin flip. (I should be doing this when the field reduced to eight teams rather than four, but I've been doing it wrong for so long, it's now a tradition. Also: highly scientific.)


Opening Round Games

NC State(23,060a)NC State
(2,306)
Xavier(6,394a)
Albany(3,969a)Mount St Mary's
(942)
Mount St Mary's(942)
Iowa(34,643)Iowa
(34,643)
Tennessee(33,945)
Cal Poly(777)Cal Poly
(777)
Texas Southern(1,551a)

Group 1

1Florida(16,048)Florida
(16,048)
Florida
(16,048)
Florida
(16,048)
Kansas
(71,239)
16Mount St Mary's(942)
8Colorado(9,395)Colorado
(9,395)
9Pittsburgh(5,661)
5VCU(10,966a)SF Austin
(1,387)
UCLA
(13,052)
12SF Austin(1,387)
4UCLA(13,052)UCLA
(13,052)
13Tulsa(1,512)
6Ohio State(35,574)Ohio State
(35,574)
Syracuse
(41,327)
Kansas
(71,239)
11Dayton(7,612)
3Syracuse(41,327)Syracuse
(41,327)
14Western Michigan(351)
7New Mexico(17,182a)Stanford
(4,886)
Kansas
(71,239)
10Stanford(4,886)
2Kansas(71,239)Kansas
(71,239)
15Eastern Kentucky(1,741)

Group 2

1Arizona(17,523)Arizona
(17,523)
Arizona
(17,523)
Arizona
(17,523)
Wisconsin
(30,913)
16Weber State(3,365a)
8Gonzaga(9,559)Oklahoma State
(14,271)
9Oklahoma State(14,271)
5Oklahoma(15,869)Oklahoma
(15,869)
Oklahoma
(15,869)
12North Dakota State(1,538)
4San Diego State(13,813a)San Diego State
(1,381)
13New Mexico State(4,510a)
6Baylor(18,310)Nebraska
(18,484)
Nebraska
(18,484)
Wisconsin
(30,913)
11Nebraska(18,484)
3Creighton(13,585)Creighton
(13,585)
14Louisiana-Lafayette(909)
7Oregon(15,640)Oregon
(15,640)
Wisconsin
(30,913)
10BYU(12,953)
2Wisconsin(30,913)Wisconsin
(30,913)
15American(1,629)

Group 3

1Virginia(8,022)Virginia
(8,022)
Memphis
(35,231)
Michigan State
(63,034)
North Carolina
(153,062)
16Coastal Carolina(4,763)
8Memphis(35,231)Memphis
(35,231)
9George Washington(2,811)
5Cincinnati(15,545)Cincinnati
(15,545)
Michigan State
(63,034)
12Harvard(3,059)
4Michigan State(63,034)Michigan State
(63,034)
13Delaware(9,419)
6North Carolina(153,062)North Carolina
(153,062)
North Carolina
(153,062)
North Carolina
(153,062)
11Providence(9,413a)
3Iowa State(26,881)Iowa State
(26,881)
14North Carolina Central(868)
7Connecticut(10,417)Connecticut
(10,417)
Connecticut
(10,417)
10St Joseph's(2,608)
2Villanova(3,574)Villanova
(3,574)
15Milwaukee(3,719a)

Group 4

1Wichita State(15,957)Wichita State
(15,957)
Kentucky
(62,164)
Kentucky
(62,164)
Duke
(102,300)
16Cal Poly(777)
8Kentucky(62,164)Kentucky
(62,164)
9Kansas State(445)
5Saint Louis(6,604)Saint Louis
(6,604)
Louisville
(14,844)
12NC State(23,060a)
4Louisville(14,844)Louisville
(14,844)
13Manhattan(3,290)
6Massachusetts(5,863)Iowa
(34,643)
Duke
(102,300)
Duke
(102,300)
11Iowa(34,643)
3Duke(102,300)Duke
(102,300)
14Mercer(2,749a)
7Texas(14,097)Texas
(14,097)
Michigan
(96,095)
10Arizona State(4,941)
2Michigan(96,095)Michigan
(96,095)
15Wofford(945)

Finals

Kansas(3)Kansas
(3)
Kansas
(3)
North Carolina(2)
Wisconsin(1)Wisconsin
(1)
Duke(0)

Oh, and if you need some advice on how to fill out your bracket, you can watch Slate's Mike Pesca fill out his. Okay, maybe he's not giving advice, so the whole if/then thing was a bit of a lie. Chris Wilson has actual advice.


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